Maximum Likelihood Degrees of Brownian Motion Tree Models: Star Trees and Root Invariance

Autor: Coons, Jane Ivy, Cox, Shelby, Maraj, Aida, Nometa, Ikenna
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Druh dokumentu: Working Paper
Popis: A Brownian motion tree (BMT) model is a Gaussian model whose associated set of covariance matrices is linearly constrained according to common ancestry in a phylogenetic tree. We study the complexity of inferring the maximum likelihood (ML) estimator for a BMT model by computing its ML-degree. Our main result is that the ML-degree of the BMT model on a star tree with $n + 1$ leaves is $2^{n+1}-2n-3$, which was previously conjectured by Am\'endola and Zwiernik. We also prove that the ML-degree of a BMT model is independent of the choice of the root. The proofs rely on the toric geometry of concentration matrices in a BMT model. Toward this end, we produce a combinatorial formula for the determinant of the concentration matrix of a BMT model, which generalizes the Cayley-Pr\"ufer theorem to complete graphs with weights given by a tree.
Comment: 19 pages, 3 figures. Comments welcome!
Databáze: arXiv