PPI++: Efficient Prediction-Powered Inference

Autor: Angelopoulos, Anastasios N., Duchi, John C., Zrnic, Tijana
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Druh dokumentu: Working Paper
Popis: We present PPI++: a computationally lightweight methodology for estimation and inference based on a small labeled dataset and a typically much larger dataset of machine-learning predictions. The methods automatically adapt to the quality of available predictions, yielding easy-to-compute confidence sets -- for parameters of any dimensionality -- that always improve on classical intervals using only the labeled data. PPI++ builds on prediction-powered inference (PPI), which targets the same problem setting, improving its computational and statistical efficiency. Real and synthetic experiments demonstrate the benefits of the proposed adaptations.
Comment: Code available at https://github.com/aangelopoulos/ppi_py
Databáze: arXiv