Causal discovery for time series with latent confounders

Autor:	Reiser, Christian
Rok vydání:	2022
Předmět:	Statistics - Machine Learning Computer Science - Machine Learning
Druh dokumentu:	Working Paper
Popis:	Reconstructing the causal relationships behind the phenomena we observe is a fundamental challenge in all areas of science. Discovering causal relationships through experiments is often infeasible, unethical, or expensive in complex systems. However, increases in computational power allow us to process the ever-growing amount of data that modern science generates, leading to an emerging interest in the causal discovery problem from observational data. This work evaluates the LPCMCI algorithm, which aims to find generators compatible with a multi-dimensional, highly autocorrelated time series while some variables are unobserved. We find that LPCMCI performs much better than a random algorithm mimicking not knowing anything but is still far from optimal detection. Furthermore, LPCMCI performs best on auto-dependencies, then contemporaneous dependencies, and struggles most with lagged dependencies. The source code of this project is available online. Comment: observational causal discovery, causal inference, causality, statistics
Databáze:	arXiv
Externí odkaz:	http://arxiv.org/abs/2209.03427 Zobrazit plný text záznamu View this record from Arxiv