Selecting Data Adaptive Learner from Multiple Deep Learners using Bayesian Networks

Autor: Kobayashi, Shusuke, Shirayama, Susumu
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Druh dokumentu: Working Paper
DOI: 10.1007/s00521-020-05234-6
Popis: A method to predict time-series using multiple deep learners and a Bayesian network is proposed. In this study, the input explanatory variables are Bayesian network nodes that are associated with learners. Training data are divided using K-means clustering, and multiple deep learners are trained depending on the cluster. A Bayesian network is used to determine which deep learner is in charge of predicting a time-series. We determine a threshold value and select learners with a posterior probability equal to or greater than the threshold value, which could facilitate more robust prediction. The proposed method is applied to financial time-series data, and the predicted results for the Nikkei 225 index are demonstrated.
Comment: 14 pages, 12 tables and 4 figures, Submitted to Neural Computing and Applications
Databáze: arXiv