Climate & BCG: Effects on COVID-19 Death Growth Rates

Autor:	Finlay, Chris, Bassett, Bruce A.
Rok vydání:	2020
Předmět:	Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution Statistics - Applications
Druh dokumentu:	Working Paper
Popis:	Multiple studies have suggested the spread of COVID-19 is affected by factors such as climate, BCG vaccinations, pollution and blood type. We perform a joint study of these factors using the death growth rates of 40 regions worldwide with both machine learning and Bayesian methods. We find weak, non-significant (< 3$\sigma$) evidence for temperature and relative humidity as factors in the spread of COVID-19 but little or no evidence for BCG vaccination prevalence or $\text{PM}_{2.5}$ pollution. The only variable detected at a statistically significant level (>3$\sigma$) is the rate of positive COVID-19 tests, with higher positive rates correlating with higher daily growth of deaths. Comment: 17 pages, 10 figures, 6 tables
Databáze:	arXiv
Externí odkaz:	http://arxiv.org/abs/2007.05542 Zobrazit plný text záznamu View this record from Arxiv