Predictive modelling of disease propagation in a mobile, connected community

Autor: Tiwari, Ishant, Sarin, Pradeep, Parmananda, Punit
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Druh dokumentu: Working Paper
DOI: 10.1063/5.0021113
Popis: We present numerical results obtained from the modelling of a stochastic, highly connected and mobile community. The spread of attributes like health, disease among the community members is simulated using cellular automata on a planar 2 dimensional bounded space. With remarkably few assumptions, we are able to predict the future course of propagation of such disease as a function of time and the fine-tuning of parameters related to the interaction among the automata.
Comment: Updated with full model calculations. Submited to PRL
Databáze: arXiv