Spatial Spread of Epidemic Diseases in Geographical Settings: Seasonal Influenza Epidemics in Puerto Rico

Autor:	Magal, Pierre, Webb, Glenn F., Wu, Yixiang
Rok vydání:	2018
Předmět:	Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution Mathematics - Dynamical Systems 92D25 92D30
Druh dokumentu:	Working Paper
Popis:	Deterministic models are developed for the spatial spread of epidemic diseases in geographical settings. The models are focused on outbreaks that arise from a small number of infected hosts imported into sub-regions of the geographical settings. The goal is to understand how spatial heterogeneity influences the transmission dynamics of the susceptible and infected populations. The models consist of systems of partial differential equations with diffusion terms describing the spatial spread of the underlying microbial infectious agents. The model is compared with real data from seasonal influenza epidemics in Puerto Rico. Comment: 18 pages, 13 figures
Databáze:	arXiv
Externí odkaz:	http://arxiv.org/abs/1801.01856 Zobrazit plný text záznamu View this record from Arxiv