Semi-quantitative predictions for the Polish parliamentary elections (October 25, 2015) based on the Emotion/Information/Opinion mode

Autor:	Sobkowicz, Pawel
Rok vydání:	2015
Předmět:	Physics - Physics and Society
Druh dokumentu:	Working Paper
Popis:	Based on an agent based model of opinion changes, described in detail in a recent paper (\arXiv:1507.00126), we attempt to predict, three months in advance, the range of possible results of the Polish parliamentary elections, scheduled for October 25, 2015. The model reproduces semi-quantitatively the poll results for the three parties which dominated the recent presidential elections and allows estimation of some variations of the electoral propaganda campaigns by the parties.
Databáze:	arXiv
Externí odkaz:	http://arxiv.org/abs/1508.01912 Zobrazit plný text záznamu View this record from Arxiv