| Popis: |
Computational convenience has led to widespread use of Bayesian inference with vague or flat priors to analyze state-space models in ecology. Vague priors are claimed to be objective and to let the data speak. Neither of these claims is valid. Statisticians have criticized the use of vague priors from philosophical to computational to pragmatic reasons. Ecologists, however, dismiss such criticisms as empty philosophical wonderings with no practical implications. We illustrate that use of vague priors in population viability analysis and occupancy models can have significant impact on the analysis and can lead to strikingly different managerial decisions. Given the wide spread applicability of the hierarchical models and uncritical use of non-informative Bayesian analysis in ecology, researchers should be cautious about using the vague priors as a default choice in practical situations. |
