Towards Precision of Probabilistic Bounds Propagation

Autor: Thone, Helmut, Guntzer, Ulrich, Kiessling, Werner
Rok vydání: 2013
Předmět:
Druh dokumentu: Working Paper
Popis: The DUCK-calculus presented here is a recent approach to cope with probabilistic uncertainty in a sound and efficient way. Uncertain rules with bounds for probabilities and explicit conditional independences can be maintained incrementally. The basic inference mechanism relies on local bounds propagation, implementable by deductive databases with a bottom-up fixpoint evaluation. In situations, where no precise bounds are deducible, it can be combined with simple operations research techniques on a local scope. In particular, we provide new precise analytical bounds for probabilistic entailment.
Comment: Appears in Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI1992)
Databáze: arXiv