| Autor: |
Leila, Mouelhi, Hend, Ayadi, Yosra, Zaimi, Oussama, Daboussi, Mohamed, Salem, Radhouane, Debbech, Fatma, Houissa, Taoufik, Najjar |
| Rok vydání: |
2017 |
| Předmět: |
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| Zdroj: |
La Tunisie medicale. 94(11) |
| ISSN: |
0041-4131 |
| Popis: |
The variceal bleeding, main complication of portal hypertension during cirrhosis, is associated with high early mortality riskestimated between 15 and 20%. This highlights the necessity of predictive models that allow identifying high-risk patients raising the issue of amore aggressive therapeutic care.To assess the performance of four scores for the prediction of cirrhotic patients' high early mortality risk due to digestive hemorrhageand to compare them to the Child-Pugh reference score.We collected 87 cirrhotic patients admitted to the Gastroenterology Department of Charles Nicolle Hospital for a high digestivehemorrhage by rupture of gastric or esophageal varicose veins.56 men and 31 women were included in this study. The average value of Rockall, Glasgow Blatchford, MELD and MELD-Na scores,was respectively equal to 6.19, 10.91, and 17.6 and at 20. Early mortality was 30%. The average value of all the scores was significantly higherwith the prematurely deceased patients (p0.001). The MELD-Na score had higher sensitivity and specificity for the prediction of prematuremortality compared to the other scores but without statistical significantly difference (Area under the ROC curve: MELD-Na=0.867, p0.001;Child-Pugh=0.809, p0.001; Rockall=0.777, p=0.001; Glasgow-Blatchford=0.761, p0.001; MELD=0.838, p0.001). The predictive value of thecut-off MELD-Na score was equal to 19 with a sensitivity of 70% and a specificity of 82%.The studied four scores had a good predictive value of early mortality risk by varicose digestive hemorrhage with cirrhotic patients. |
| Databáze: |
OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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