Nomogram-Based Prognostic Evaluation of Gastric Cancer Patients with Low Counts of Examined Lymph Nodes Outperforms the Predictive Ability of the 7

Autor: Marek, Sierzega, Lukasz, Bobrzynski, Piotr, Kolodziejczyk, Grzegorz, Wallner, Jan, Kulig, Antoni, Szczepanik, M, Sierzega, L, Bobrzynski, P, Kolodziejczyk, G, Wallner, J, Kulig, A, Szczepanik, J, Dadan, M, Drews, M, Fraczek, A, Jeziorski, M, Krawczyk, T, Starzynska, P, Richter
Rok vydání: 2022
Zdroj: Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract.
ISSN: 1873-4626
Popis: The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system has limited accuracy in predicting survival of gastric cancer patients with inadequate counts of evaluated lymph nodes (LNs). We therefore aimed to develop a prognostic nomogram suitable for clinical applications in such cases.A total of 1511 noncardia gastric cancer patients treated between 1990 and 2010 in the academic surgical center were reviewed to compare the 7The 8th edition of AJCC staging showed better overall discriminatory power compared to the previous version, but no improvement was found for patients with 16 evaluated LNs. The developed nomogram had better concordance index (0.695) than the former (0.682) or latest (0.680) staging editions, including patients subject to neoadjuvant treatment, and calibration curves showed excellent agreement between the nomogram-predicted and actual survival. High discriminatory power was also demonstrated for both validation cohorts. Subsequently, the nomogram showed the best accuracy for the prediction of 5-year survival through the time-dependent ROC curve analysis in the training and validation cohorts.A clinically relevant nomogram was built for the prediction of 5-year survival in patients with inadequate numbers of LNs evaluated in surgical specimens. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was validated in two Western populations.
Databáze: OpenAIRE