[Method for estimating influenza propagation pattern from daily variations in drug sales at pharmacies]

Autor: Kazushige, Ijuin, Mizuho, Takahashi, Hisako, Takeuchi, Kazuo, Iwaki, Rieko, Matsuda, Yuzuru, Hayashi, Takehiko, Yajima
Rok vydání: 2007
Předmět:
Zdroj: Kokuritsu Iyakuhin Shokuhin Eisei Kenkyujo hokoku = Bulletin of National Institute of Health Sciences. (124)
ISSN: 1343-4292
Popis: A recently proposed method for estimating the route and speed of infectious disease propagation is applied to the data of four pharmacies located in and around Tokyo. The time lags of propagation between distant sites are calculated by the cross-correlation function of the daily variations in the amount of influenza anti-virus agents supplied at the pharmacies. A problem of which are infected earlier with influenza, adults or children, is also treated. The features of this study are the information sources of disease (pharmacies) and quantitative understanding of propagation (time lags).
Databáze: OpenAIRE