[Mathematical modeling and prognosis of incidence of enteric anthroponoses with aqueous route of transmission]

Autor:	V V, Mefod'ev, Iu V, Ustiuzhanin, L B, Kozlov, T N, Tsokova, A Ia, Fol'mer
Rok vydání:	2007
Předmět:	Gastrointestinal Diseases Incidence Hepatitis A Models Theoretical Prognosis Communicable Diseases Rotavirus Infections Siberia Risk Factors Communicable Disease Control Disease Transmission Infectious Humans Typhoid Fever Water Microbiology Mathematics Dysentery Bacillary
Zdroj:	Zhurnal mikrobiologii, epidemiologii i immunobiologii. (2)
ISSN:	0372-9311
Popis:	Using data on long-term dynamics of epidemic process of acute enteric infections enteric with aqueous route of transmission (typhoid fever, shigellosis caused by Shigella flexneri, hepatitis A, rotavirus gastroenteritis, etc.)the equation of regression was developed with the help of Chebyshev's polynoms. Predicted incidences of these infections for 2005 were on 61.2-99.5% in agree with the real ones on two territories of north region of West Siberia. Predicted incidence for 2006 is reflecting tendencies of epidemic process of mentioned infections.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=pmid________::8d52e5d9f5ccc5910d65e95a9e27bc4c https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17523473 Zobrazit plný text záznamu