Peace Science and the Hydropolitical Conflicts in Central Asia: The Rogun Dam Conflict between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan

Autor: Tanrısever, Oktay F., Sakal, Halil Burak
Přispěvatelé: Kapadokya Üniversitesi, İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, Siyaset Bilimi ve Uluslararası İlişkiler Bölümü, Sakal, Halil Burak
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Popis: This conference paper seeks to explore the potential contributions of the peace science to the hydropolitical conflicts in Central Asia by focusing on the case of the Rogun Dam conflict between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. In particular, the conference paper seeks to identify the opportunity structures available to the conflicting parties through a mixed methodology of using quantitative and qualitative data about the hydropower resources as well as water resources for agricultural use as well as the relevant countries policy options and peaceful settlement alternatives. The existing literature on water conflicts mostly focuses on water scarcity for assessing the risk of occurrence of water-related conflicts between the riparians in the transboundary river basins. More recently, the number of studies combining the physical and human-related indicators for analyzing the potential risks of hydropolitical conflicts. The conference paper suggests that based on the quantified data about water and energy nexus in the Ragun Dam area the diverse interests of the Central Asian countries in using water resources for electricity production and agricultural use set them against each other in a conflictual relationship. This is quite clear in the case of the Rogun Dam conflict between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. The conference paper argues that the changes in Uzbekistan’s position on this conflict from a conflictual to a more conciliatory one could be explained with the peace science approach and data about the hydropower resources as well as water resources for agricultural use as well as the relevant countries policy options and peaceful settlement alternatives. This paper hopes to contribute to the literature by including concepts of political science and environmental economics. Various databases are used for this purpose. The paper derives water scarcity data from the AQUEDUCT database of the World Resources Institute, while the Transboundary Waters Assessment Programme of the Global Environmental Facility is employed for the following indicators: human water stress, agricultural water stress, ecosystem impacts from dams, economic dependence on water resources, enabling environment and legal framework. Hydropower data is gathered from the International Renewable Energy Agency’s Renewable Electricity Capacity and Generation Statistics as well as from the International Energy Agency. The agricultural data are compiled from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, the FAOSTAT database. Specifically, the International Cotton Advisory Committee’s Data Portal will be employed for cotton agriculture data of Uzbekistan. Kapadokya Üniversitesi
Databáze: OpenAIRE