| Popis: |
The present article studies some features of the dynamics of Russia and its regions in conditions of a structural crisis and economic instability. The analysis is founded on the research results of the long-term dynamics of the system ‘country region’ relating to the leading industrial areas of the Urals Sverdlovsk and Chelyabinsk regions. A number of important points associated with various scenarios of regional development, including “turning points” of trends, as well as with a change in the quality of the economic growth, are considered in the context of stability issues. The construction of a model of economic dynamics is presented in terms of several heterogeneous, short and qualitatively incommensurable periods of time series. Some differences of the period of low growth (‘depression stagnation’) from those of the formation of new proportions of development and early growth are marked in the paper. A final trajectory of the development dynamics of each region is considered while imposing corrections which characterize the specificity of the region on general regional trends. Some peculiarities of the dynamics of the regional investment process one of key features of the economy’s growth prospects are indicated. A variety of requirements concerning models of the regional dynamics in terms of the structural crisis are specified. They are regarded as universal and basic for studying problems of regional strategic planning. |
