OPTIMIZING VLS FIRING POLICY: AN ENUMERATION OF HETEROGENEOUS SEQUENCES TO INFORM EXPENDITURE
Autor: | Templin, Steel J. |
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Přispěvatelé: | Kress, Moshe, Atkinson, Michael P., Salmeron-Medrano, Javier, Operations Research (OR) |
Rok vydání: | 2021 |
Předmět: |
Vertical Launch System
pk probability of raid annihilation ship SSLSS probability of engagement kill IAMD integrated air and missile defense VLS BMD SLS ASCM mix distributed maritime operations interceptor DMO loadout salvo battle damage assessment expenditure counterfire low cost PEK PIP missile defense probable impact point BDA PRA anti-ship cruise missile range hard kill SLSS shoot look shoot optimization |
Popis: | The U.S. Navy (USN) utilizes the Vertical Launch System (VLS) to store and launch both their offensive and defensive missiles. Since the number of VLS silos on a given ship is fixed, to maximize offensive capability the USN needs to minimize the number of interceptors required to combat incoming anti-surface missiles. Current firing policies may be overly conservative and expend too many interceptors per incoming threat, which results in a substantial fraction of VLS silos dedicated to defensive missiles. Decision makers need an analysis tool to explore the trade-off between missile consumption and probability of raid annihilation (PRA) for various firing policies and would also benefit from a prescriptive algorithm to help inform missile expenditure. This thesis provides a model to optimize VLS firing policy using a set of multiple interceptor types while accounting for range limitations, travel time, multi-interceptor salvos, battle damage assessment, and range dependent probability of kill. Additionally, the thesis derives analytical results for the optimal, lowest-cost allocation of interceptors in the single interceptor case, which, in turn, generates insight into how to structure sequential salvos. N81, Washington DC Ensign, United States Navy Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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