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Under future climates, leaf temperature (Tl) will be higher and more variable. This will affect plant carbon (C) balance because photosynthesis and respiration both respond to short-term (sub-daily) fluctuations in Tl and acclimate in the longer term (days to months). This study asks the question: to what extent can the potential and speed of photosynthetic acclimation buffer leaf C gain from rising and increasingly variable Tl? We quantified how increases in the mean and variability of growth temperature affect leaf performance (mean net CO2 assimilation rates, Anet; its variability; and time under near-optimal photosynthetic conditions), as mediated by thermal acclimation. To this aim, the probability distribution of Anet was obtained by combining a probabilistic description of short- and long-term changes in Tl with data on Anet responses to these changes, encompassing 75 genera and 111 species, including both C3 and C4 species. Our results show that: i) expected increases in Tl variability will decrease mean Anet and increase its variability, whereas the effects of higher mean Tl depend on species and initial Tl; and ii) acclimation reduces the effects of leaf warming, maintaining Anet at >80% of its maximum under most thermal regimes. This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Vico, G, Way, DA, Hurry, V, Manzoni, S. Can leaf net photosynthesis acclimate to rising and more variable temperatures? Plant Cell Environ. 2019; 42: 1913– 1928, which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1111/pce.13525. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions. This article may not be enhanced, enriched or otherwise transformed into a derivative work, without express permission from Wiley or by statutory rights under applicable legislation. Copyright notices must not be removed, obscured or modified. The article must be linked to Wiley’s version of record on Wiley Online Library and any embedding, framing or otherwise making available the article or pages thereof by third parties from platforms, services and websites other than Wiley Online Library must be prohibited. |
