Migration, Forced Displacement and Fertility during Civil War: A Survival Analysis
| Autor: | Verwimp, Philip, Osti, Davide, Ostby, Gudrun |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2017 |
| Předmět: |
fertility
Burundi forced displacement civil war J13 N47 migration N37 Labor and Consumers Demography Education Health Welfare Income and Wealth: Africa Oceania [Economic History] C41 Economie Fertility Family Planning Child Care Children Youth Government War Law and Regulation: Africa C25 Duration Analysis Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models [Single Equation Models Single Variables] |
| Zdroj: | Working Papers CEB; 17-016 |
| Popis: | The civil war in Burundi (1993-2005) caused a massflow of refugees into neighboring countries as well as a large number of internally displaced persons. In fact, half of the population was displaced at least once during the course of the conflict. The aim of this study is to explore to what extent migration during the conflict impacted fertility outcomes. Using retrospective data on birth and residential histories at the mother-year level from a nationally representative survey conducted in August 2002, we examine the impact of war and migration on the probability of first births and on birth spacing. A parametric survival regression model is adopted to predict the hazard of having an additional child on a sample of about 4,500 Burundian women. Our results suggest that the risk of an additional pregnancy is higher in years of forced displacement of the mother, whereas it is lower in the case of residence in the forced displacement site. We do not find a statistically significant effect different from no migration in the years that the women voluntary migrated. Fertility however sharply increases once the women resided in the migration site. info:eu-repo/semantics/published |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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