A Simulation Approach to Risk Assessment in Investment Analysis

Autor: Cassidy, P.A., Rodgers, J.L., McCarthy, W.O.
Rok vydání: 1970
Předmět:
Popis: A simulation technique is advanced as a means of determining the probability of achieving various possible financial outcomes when assessing alternative investments. To this end a model is constructed and applied to a proposed investment in pasture improvement. Results are contrasted with a deterministic budget approach. The model uses triangular distributions to derive probabilistic estimates for the stochastic events considered. Possible fields of application of interest to agricultural economists are discussed.
Databáze: OpenAIRE