| Autor: |
Haasnoot, M., van Deursen, W. P A, Guillaume, J. H A, Kwakkel, J. H., van Beek, E., Middelkoop, Hans |
| Přispěvatelé: |
Geomorfologie, Coastal dynamics, Fluvial systems and Global change |
| Jazyk: |
angličtina |
| Rok vydání: |
2014 |
| Předmět: |
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| Popis: |
Exploring adaptation pathways is an emerging approach for supporting decision making under uncertain changing conditions. An adaptation pathway is a sequence of policy actions to reach specified objectives. To develop adaptation pathways, interactions between environment and policy response need to be analysed over time for an ensemble of plausible futures. A fast, integrated model can facilitate this. Here, we describe the development and evaluation of such a model, an Integrated Assessment Metamodel (IAMM), to explore adaptation pathways in the Rhine delta for a decision problem currently faced by the Dutch Government. The theory-motivated metamodel is a simplified physically based model. Closed questions reflecting the required accuracy were used to evaluate the model's fitness. The results show that such a model fits the purpose of screening and ranking of policy options and pathways to support the strategic decision making. A complex model can subsequently be used to obtain more detailed information. |
| Databáze: |
OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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