Second-order refined peaks-over-treshold modelling for heavy-tailed distributions

Autor: Beirlant, J., Joossens, E., Segers, J.J.J.
Přispěvatelé: Research Group: Econometrics, Research Group: Finance, Econometrics and Operations Research
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2009
Zdroj: Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 139, 2800-2815. Elsevier
ISSN: 0378-3758
Popis: Modelling excesses over a high threshold using the Pareto or generalized Pareto distribution (PD/GPD) is the most popular approach in extreme value statistics. This method typically requires high thresholds in order for the (G)PD to fit well and in such a case applies only to a small upper fraction of the data. The extension of the (G)PD proposed in this paper is able to describe the excess distribution for lower thresholds in case of heavy-tailed distributions. This yields a statistical model that can be fitted to a larger portion of the data. Moreover, estimates of tail parameters display stability for a larger range of thresholds. Our findings are supported by asymptotic results, simulations and a case study.
Databáze: OpenAIRE