Evidence on features of a dsge business cycle model from bayesian model averaging

Autor: Strachan, RW, van Dijk, Herman
Přispěvatelé: Erasmus School of Economics, Econometrics
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2013
Zdroj: International Economic Review, 54(1), 385-402. Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd
ISSN: 0020-6598
Popis: The empirical support for features of a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model with two technology shocks is evaluated using Bayesian model averaging over vector autoregressions. The model features include equilibria, restrictions on long-run responses, a structural break of unknown date, and a range of lags and deterministic processes. We find support for a number of features implied by the economic model, and the evidence suggests a break in the entire model structure around 1984, after which technology shocks appear to account for all stochastic trends. Business cycle volatility seems more due to investment-specific technology shocks than neutral technology shocks.
Databáze: OpenAIRE