Uncertainties in Long-Term Twenty-First Century Process-Based Coastal Sea-Level Projections

Autor: van de Wal, R. S.W., Zhang, X., Minobe, S., Jevrejeva, S., Riva, R.E.M., Little, C., Richter, K., Palmer, M. D.
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: Surveys in Geophysics: an international review journal covering the entire field of geosciences and related areas, 40(6)
ISSN: 0169-3298
Popis: Many processes affect sea level near the coast. In this paper, we discuss the major uncertainties in coastal sea-level projections from a process-based perspective, at different spatial and temporal scales, and provide an outlook on how these uncertainties may be reduced. Uncertainty in centennial global sea-level rise is dominated by the ice sheet contributions. Geographical variations in projected sea-level change arise mainly from dynamical patterns in the ocean response and other geophysical processes. Finally, the uncertainties in the short-duration extreme sea-level events are controlled by near coastal processes, storms and tides.
Databáze: OpenAIRE