Satellite Based Assessment of Hydroclimatic Conditions Related to Cholera in Zimbabwe
Autor: | Antarpreet Jutla, Haidar Aldaach, Hannah Billian, Rita R. Colwell, Anwar Huq, Ali S. Akanda |
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Rok vydání: | 2015 |
Předmět: |
Satellite Imagery
Zimbabwe Climatic Processes Science Rain Population medicine.disease_cause Models Biological Disease Outbreaks Cholera Tropical climate medicine Humans education Epidemics Vibrio cholerae education.field_of_study Spatial Analysis Tropical Climate Multidisciplinary Outbreak medicine.disease Geography Climatology Early warning system Medicine Seasons Environmental epidemiology Research Article |
Zdroj: | PLoS ONE PLoS ONE, Vol 10, Iss 9, p e0137828 (2015) |
ISSN: | 1932-6203 |
Popis: | IntroductionCholera, an infectious diarrheal disease, has been shown to be associated with large scale hydroclimatic processes. The sudden and sporadic occurrence of epidemic cholera is linked with high mortality rates, in part, due to uncertainty in timing and location of outbreaks. Improved understanding of the relationship between pathogenic abundance and climatic processes allows prediction of disease outbreak to be an achievable goal. In this study, we show association of large scale hydroclimatic processes with the cholera epidemic in Zimbabwe reported to have begun in Chitungwiza, a city in Mashonaland East province, in August, 2008.Principal findingsClimatic factors in the region were found to be associated with triggering cholera outbreak and are shown to be related to anomalies of temperature and precipitation, validating the hypothesis that poor conditions of sanitation, coupled with elevated temperatures, and followed by heavy rainfall can initiate outbreaks of cholera. Spatial estimation by satellite of precipitation and global gridded air temperature captured sensitivities in hydroclimatic conditions that permitted identification of the location in the region where the disease outbreak began.DiscussionSatellite derived hydroclimatic processes can be used to capture environmental conditions related to epidemic cholera, as occurred in Zimbabwe, thereby providing an early warning system. Since cholera cannot be eradicated because the causative agent, Vibrio cholerae, is autochthonous to the aquatic environment, prediction of conditions favorable for its growth and estimation of risks of triggering the disease in a given population can be used to alert responders, potentially decreasing infection and saving lives. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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