Continent-wide tree fecundity driven by indirect climate effects

Autor: Robert Daley, Amanda M. Schwantes, Samantha Sutton, Cathryn H. Greenberg, William H. Schlesinger, Erin Shanahan, Jalene M. LaMontagne, Jonathan Myers, Andreas P. Wion, Shubhi Sharma, Michał Bogdziewicz, Jordan Luongo, Kristin Legg, Inés Ibáñez, Don C. Bragg, Adrian J. Das, Catherine A. Gehring, Christopher M. Moore, Eliot J. B. McIntire, C. Lane Scher, Michael Dietze, Ethan Ready, Jill F. Johnstone, James A. Lutz, Robert R. Parmenter, Robert A. Andrus, Diana Macias, Orrin Myers, Natalie L. Cleavitt, Michael A. Steele, Miranda D. Redmond, Jerry F. Franklin, James S. Clark, Yves Bergeron, Yassine Messaoud, Kai Zhu, Sam Pearse, Johannes M. H. Knops, Chase L. Nuñez, Roman Zlotin, Georges Kunstler, Thomas T. Veblen, Istem Fer, Walter D. Koenig, Thomas G. Whitham, Timothy J. Fahey, Dale G. Brockway, Janneke HilleRisLambers, Christopher L. Kilner, Gregory S. Gilbert, Benoît Courbaud, Renata Poulton-Kamakura, Scott M. Pearson, Nathan L. Stephenson, Kyle C. Rodman, Qinfeng Guo, Jennifer J. Swenson, Emily V. Moran, Susan L. Cohen, Margaret Swift, C. D. Reid, Mélaine Aubry-Kientz, Amy V. Whipple
Přispěvatelé: Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University [Durham], Laboratoire des EcoSystèmes et des Sociétés en Montagne (UR LESSEM), Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), University of Colorado [Boulder], University of California [Merced], University of California, Université du Québec en Abitibi-Témiscamingue (UQAT), Adam Mickiewicz University in Poznań (UAM), USDA Forest Service Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), Cornell University [New York], Department Biostatistics University of North Carolina, University of North Carolina [Chapel Hill] (UNC), University of North Carolina System (UNC)-University of North Carolina System (UNC), National Park Service, United States Geological Survey (USGS), Boston University [Boston] (BU), Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), University of Washington [Seattle], Northern Arizona University [Flagstaff], University of California [Santa Cruz] (UCSC), Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center, US Forest Service, University of Michigan System, University of Saskatchewan [Saskatoon] (U of S), Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University [Suzhou], University of California [Berkeley], DePaul University [Chicago], Utah State University (USU), The University of New Mexico [Albuquerque], Pacific Forestry Centre, Natural Resources Canada (NRCan), University of Quebec (INRS-EMT), Colby College, Washington University in Saint Louis (WUSTL), Max Planck Society, United States Department of the Interior, Fort Collins Science Center, Mars Hill University, Colorado State University [Fort Collins] (CSU), University of Toronto, Wilkes University, Partenaires INRAE, Department of Geography, Bloomington, Russian and East European Institute, Bloomington, National Science Foundation (NSF) : DEB-1754443, Belmont Forum : 1854976, National Aeronautics & Space Administration (NASA) : AIST16-0052, AIST18-0063, ANR-18-MPGA-0004,FORBIC,Prévision du changement de la biodiversité(2018)
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Nature Communications
Nature Communications, Nature Publishing Group, 2021, 12 (1), pp.1-11. ⟨10.1038/s41467-020-20836-3⟩
Nature Communications, 12
Nature Communications, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2021)
Nature communications, vol 12, iss 1
ISSN: 2041-1723
Popis: Indirect climate effects on tree fecundity that come through variation in size and growth (climate-condition interactions) are not currently part of models used to predict future forests. Trends in species abundances predicted from meta-analyses and species distribution models will be misleading if they depend on the conditions of individuals. Here we find from a synthesis of tree species in North America that climate-condition interactions dominate responses through two pathways, i) effects of growth that depend on climate, and ii) effects of climate that depend on tree size. Because tree fecundity first increases and then declines with size, climate change that stimulates growth promotes a shift of small trees to more fecund sizes, but the opposite can be true for large sizes. Change the depresses growth also affects fecundity. We find a biogeographic divide, with these interactions reducing fecundity in the West and increasing it in the East. Continental-scale responses of these forests are thus driven largely by indirect effects, recommending management for climate change that considers multiple demographic rates.
Nature Communications, 12
ISSN:2041-1723
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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