Abdominal ultrasound findings contribute to a multivariable predictive risk score for surgical necrotizing enterocolitis: A pilot study

Autor: David Zurakowski, Steven J. Staffa, Richard B. Parad, Stefanie P. Lazow, Ilse Castro-Aragon, Judy A. Estroff, Sarah A. Tracy, Catherine Chen, Alan M. Fujii
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: The American Journal of Surgery. 222:1034-1039
ISSN: 0002-9610
DOI: 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2021.04.025
Popis: Background Abdominal ultrasound (AUS) is a promising adjunct to abdominal x-ray (AXR) for evaluating necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). We developed a multivariable risk score incorporating AUS to predict surgical NEC. Methods 83 patients were evaluated by AXR and AUS for suspected NEC. A subset had surgical NEC. Multivariate logistic regression determined predictors of surgical NEC, which were incorporated into a risk score. Results 14/83 patients (16.9%) had surgical NEC. 10/83 (12.0%) patients required acute intervention, while 4/83 (4.8%) patients only required delayed surgery. Four predictors of surgical NEC were identified: abdominal wall erythema (OR: 8.2, p = 0.048), portal venous gas on AXR (OR: 29.8, p = 0.014), and echogenic free fluid (OR: 17.2, p = 0.027) and bowel wall thickening (OR: 12.5, p = 0.030) on AUS. A multivariable risk score incorporating these predictors had excellent area-under-the-curve of 0.937 (95% CI: 0.879–0.994). Conclusions AUS, as an adjunct to physical exam and AXR, has utility for predicting surgical NEC.
Databáze: OpenAIRE