The Probability of Iterated Conditionals
| Autor: | Shira Elqayam, David E. Over, Janneke van Wijnbergen-Huitink |
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| Přispěvatelé: | Theoretical Philosophy |
| Rok vydání: | 2014 |
| Předmět: |
Adult
Male Logic probability Cognitive Neuroscience Decision Making Experimental and Cognitive Psychology Of the form defective truth-table Judgment Cognition Artificial Intelligence Simple (abstract algebra) Humans Problem Solving Probability Mathematics Discrete mathematics Interpretation (logic) Defective truth table Probabilistic logic Contrast (statistics) Strict conditional Philosophical logic Iterated function Indicative conditionals iterated conditionals Iterated conditionals Female Decision-theoretic account of reasoning decision-theoretic account of reasoning Mathematical economics |
| Zdroj: | Cognitive Science, 39(4), 788-803. Wiley |
| ISSN: | 0364-0213 |
| Popis: | Iterated conditionals of the form If p, then if q, r are an important topic in philosophical logic. In recent years, psychologists have gained muchknowledge about how people understand simple conditionals, but there are virtually no published psychological studies of iterated conditionals. This paper presents experimental evidence from a study comparing the iterated form, If p, then if q, then r with the ‘imported’, non-iterated form, If p and q, then r, using a probability evaluation task and a truth table task, and taking into account qualitative individual differences. This allows us to critically contrast philosophical and psychological approaches that make diverging predictions regarding the interpretation of these forms. The results strongly support the probabilistic Adams conditional, and the ‘newparadigm’ that takes this conditional as a starting point. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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