The European growth synchronization through crises and structural changes

Autor: Remzi Uctum, Chu-Ping C. Vijverberg, Merih Uctum
Přispěvatelé: Brooklyn College [CUNY, New York], City University of New York [New York] (CUNY), CUNY Graduate Center (The Graduate Center), EconomiX, Université Paris Nanterre (UPN)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université Paris Nanterre - UFR Sciences économiques, gestion, mathématiques, informatique (UPN SEGMI), Université Paris Nanterre (UPN), College of Staten Island [CUNY] (CSI CUNY)
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Economics and Econometrics
growth synchronization
education
Sample (statistics)
JEL: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics/E.E3 - Prices
Business Fluctuations
and Cycles

Monetary economics
0502 economics and business
Synchronization (computer science)
Economics
Business cycle
050207 economics
health care economics and organizations
Reverse causality
050208 finance
[QFIN]Quantitative Finance [q-fin]
05 social sciences
1. No poverty
Convergence (economics)
[SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance
JEL: F - International Economics/F.F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
JEL: F - International Economics/F.F6 - Economic Impacts of Globalization
crises
[No keyword available]
euro
Convergence
structural breaks
Social Sciences (miscellaneous)
Analysis
Common currency
Zdroj: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 2021, 25 (1), pp.1-17. ⟨10.1515/snde-2018-0097⟩
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, MIT Press, 2021, 25
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, MIT Press, 2021, 25 (1), pp.1-17. ⟨10.1515/snde-2018-0097⟩
ISSN: 1081-1826
Popis: In light of several economic and financial crises and institutional changes experienced by the European countries, we examine whether these economies achieved synchronization of their business cycles and fostered synchronization of their growth rates. Controlling for reverse causality, we conduct multiple endogenous break tests and find that (i) several endogenous break dates correspond to idiosyncratic shocks affecting individual countries or major shocks in international arena but not the adoption of the euro; this result suggests that the convergence process has been nonlinear for a number of countries and that studies imposing break dates exogenously, such as the launch of euro, may lead to biased conclusions; (ii) while output growth was increasingly synchronized for some countries, integration occurred in an asymmetric way and it did not change or did not occur for others despite being in the same common currency area (iii) convergence has been prevalent among the non-Eurozone economies in our sample.
Databáze: OpenAIRE