Fluctuating optimum and temporally variable selection on breeding date in birds and mammals

Autor:	Michael B. Morrissey, Jouko Kumpula, Nathaniel T. Wheelwright, Thomas Kvalnes, Anne Charmantier, Juan Carlos Senar, Pierre de Villemereuil, Luis-Miguel Chevin, Ben C. Sheldon, Simon R. Evans, Andrew G. McAdam, Jarle Tufto, Marco Festa-Bianchet, Pierre Bize, Sandra Hamel, Andrew Cockburn, Kurt Jerstad, Anna Qvarnström, Debora Arlt, Marlène Gamelon, Bart Kempenaers, Martijn van de Pol, Ole Wiggo Røstad, Josephine M. Pemberton, F. Stephen Dobson, Tomas Pärt, S. Eryn McFarlane, Julia Schroeder, Patricia Brekke, Loeske E. B. Kruuk, Lyanne Brouwer, Marcel E. Visser, Steeve D. Côté, Johann Hegelbach
Přispěvatelé:	Animal Ecology (AnE), Tinbergen group, Department of Health and Life Sciences, Neurobiology, Institut de Systématique, Evolution, Biodiversité (ISYEB ), Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-École pratique des hautes études (EPHE), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université des Antilles (UA), Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE), Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-École pratique des hautes études (EPHE), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD [France-Sud])-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro), Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), University of Zurich, de Villemereuil, Pierre, University of St Andrews. School of Biology, University of St Andrews. Centre for Biological Diversity, Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-École Pratique des Hautes Études (EPHE), Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-École Pratique des Hautes Études (EPHE), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD [France-Sud])-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut Agro - Montpellier SupAgro, Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)
Rok vydání:	2020
Předmět:	0106 biological sciences Time Factors Fitness landscape Animal Ecology and Physiology QH301 Biology Datasets as Topic Fluctuating environment Phenotypic plasticity 01 natural sciences 59 - Zoologia Mammals 2. Zero hunger 0303 health sciences Multidisciplinary Natural selection Fitness function Reproduction [SDV.BID.EVO]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Biodiversity/Populations and Evolution [q-bio.PE] Selecció natural Plan_S-Compliant_NO Biological Sciences Biological Evolution international 590 Animals (Zoology) Biology 010603 evolutionary biology Adaptació animal Birds QH301 10127 Institute of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies 03 medical and health sciences Reproducció Animals Selection Genetic Adaptation ZA4450 Selection (genetic algorithm) 030304 developmental biology 1000 Multidisciplinary Extinction Models Genetic ZA4450 Databases Ocells Directional selection DAS Meta-analysis Evolutionary biology 570 Life sciences biology Genetic Fitness Mamífers
Zdroj:	RECERCAT (Dipòsit de la Recerca de Catalunya) Recercat: Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya) Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(50), 31969-31978. National Academy of Sciences Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 117, 50, pp. 31969-31978 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(50), 31969-31978. NATL ACAD SCIENCES Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, National Academy of Sciences, 2020, 117 (50), pp.31969-31978. ⟨10.1073/pnas.2009003117⟩ Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 117, 31969-31978 Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya instname Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020, 117 (50), pp.31969-31978. ⟨10.1073/pnas.2009003117⟩ de Villemereuil, P, Charmantier, A, Arlt, D, Bize, P, Brekke, P, Brouwer, L, Cockburn, A, Côté, S D, Dobson, F S, Evans, S R, Festa-Bianchet, M, Gamelon, M, Hamel, S, Hegelbach, J, Jerstad, K, Kempenaers, B, Kruuk, L, Kumpula, J, Kvalnes, T, McAdam, A G, Mcfarlane, E, Morrissey, M B, Pärt, T, Pemberton, J M, Qvarnström, A, Røstad, O W, Schroeder, J, Senar, J C, Sheldon, B C, van de Pol, M, Visser, M E, Wheelwright, N T, Tufto, J & Chevin, LM 2020, ' Fluctuating optimum and temporally variable selection on breeding date in birds and mammals ', Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 117, no. 50, pp. 31969-31978 . https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2009003117 Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
ISSN:	0027-8424 1091-6490
Popis:	L-M.C. and P.d.V. acknowledge support from the European Research Council (ERC) (Grant 678140-FluctEvol). The Montpellier tit group acknowledges the long-term support of the Observatoire des Sciences de l’Univers – Obser-vatoire de REcherche Montpelliérain de l’Environnement (OSU-OREME). The bighorn, mountain goat, and eastern gray kangaroo studies were supported by Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council (NSERC) of Canada. Recent data collection for Wytham has been provided by grants from Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BB/L006081/1), ERC (AdG250164), and the UK Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) (NE/K006274/1, NE/S010335/1). The Columbian ground squirrel study was supported by the National Science Foundation (Grant DEB-0089473). Trait and fitness data for hihi were collected/managed by John Ewen under New Zealand Department of Conservation hihi management contracts and research permits AK/15073/RES, AK-24128-FAU, 36186-FAU, and 44300-FAU and with additional financial support via NERC UK, The Leverhulme Trust UK, Marsden Fund New Zealand, and the Hihi Conservation Charitable Trust. The data on reindeer were made available through the Reindeer husbandry in a Globalizing North Nordic Center of Excellence, and the crew at Kutuharju Experimental Reindeer Research Station in the Reindeer Herder’s Association are thanked for their valuable assistance and logistic support in data collection. The red deer, Silwood blue tit, and Soay sheep datasets were supported by UK NERC. Lundy sparrow data were supported by NERC, a Marie Skłodowska-Curie Action, and Volkswagenstiftung. The red squirrel project was funded by NSERC of Canada and the National Science Foundation. J.C.S. was supported by a grant from the Ministry of Economy and Competitivity, Spanish Research Council (CGL-2016-79568-C3-3-P). J.T., T.K., and M.G. were supported by the Research Council of Norway through its Centers for Excellence funding scheme, Project 223257. Research on fairy wrens has been supported by the Australian Research Council. The Northern wheatear and the flycatcher studies were supported by grants from the Swedish Research Council VR. Temporal variation in natural selection is predicted to strongly impact the evolution and demography of natural populations, with consequences for the rate of adaptation, evolution of plasticity, and extinction risk. Most of the theory underlying these predictions assumes a moving optimum phenotype, with predictions expressed in terms of the temporal variance and autocorrelation of this optimum. However, empirical studies seldom estimate patterns of fluctuations of an optimum phenotype, precluding further progress in connecting theory with observations. To bridge this gap, we assess the evidence for temporal variation in selection on breeding date by modeling a fitness function with a fluctuating optimum, across 39 populations of 21 wild animals, one of the largest compilations of long-term datasets with individual measurements of trait and fitness components. We find compelling evidence for fluctuations in the fitness function, causing temporal variation in the magnitude, but not the direction of selection. However, fluctuations of the optimum phenotype need not directly translate into variation in selection gradients, because their impact can be buffered by partial tracking of the optimum by the mean phenotype. Analyzing individuals that reproduce in consecutive years, we find that plastic changes track movements of the optimum phenotype across years, especially in bird species, reducing temporal variation in directional selection. This suggests that phenological plasticity has evolved to cope with fluctuations in the optimum, despite their currently modest contribution to variation in selection. Postprint
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
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