Squandering Australia’s food security—The environmental and economic costs of our unhealthy diet and the policy Path We’re On
| Autor: | Chris Ryan, Mark Lawrence, Sue Ogilvy, Sarah James, Graham M. Turner, Kirsten Larsen, Jaithri Ananthapavan, Sharon Friel, Marj Moodie, Seona Candy |
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| Rok vydání: | 2018 |
| Předmět: |
2. Zero hunger
030505 public health Food security Renewable Energy Sustainability and the Environment Natural resource economics Strategy and Management Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering Agricultural economics language.human_language Gross domestic product 12. Responsible consumption 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine 13. Climate action Economic cost Food policy language Per capita Economics Food systems 030212 general & internal medicine Economic impact analysis 0305 other medical science Productivity General Environmental Science |
| Zdroj: | Journal of Cleaner Production. 195:1581-1599 |
| ISSN: | 0959-6526 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.07.072 |
| Popis: | While historically Australia has been a major exporter of food commodities and is generally considered to be “food secure”, our inter-disciplinary modelling of Australia’s food system and contemporary diet demonstrates that Australia is likely to become a net importer of key nutritious foods such as nuts and dairy if it continues along its current policy path. Furthermore, this occurs in the context of accelerating international debt, complete dependence on imported oil and declines in Gross Domestic Product per capita. Coupled with no reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, and increasing water deficits around many capital cities, these factors indicate increasing threats to Australia’s food security. These strategic challenges arise from past and current policy choices and trends, including continued consumption of an unhealthy diet. Their effects are modelled for the coming decades using an innovative scenario simulation based on comprehensive accounts of physical processes in Australia’s economy simulated in the Australian Stocks and Flows Framework. Our analysis further employed health and economic cost modelling based on burden of disease data, conservatively demonstrating that productivity and health costs of unhealthy diets would be at least three billion Australian dollars for the 2025 Australian population if we were to continue on this trajectory. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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