The Role of Decision Analysis in Risk Analysis: A Retrospective
| Autor: | Vicki M. Bier |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
Multicriteria decision
Risk analysis 021110 strategic defence & security studies 0211 other engineering and technologies 02 engineering and technology 010501 environmental sciences 01 natural sciences Field (geography) Risk analysis (engineering) Physiology (medical) Multiple stakeholder Influence diagram Safety Risk Reliability and Quality Psychology Decision model Realism 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Decision analysis |
| Zdroj: | Risk Analysis. 40:2207-2217 |
| ISSN: | 1539-6924 0272-4332 |
| DOI: | 10.1111/risa.13583 |
| Popis: | In commemorating the 40th anniversary of Risk Analysis, this article takes a retrospective look at some of the ways in which decision analysis (as a "sibling field") has contributed to the development both of the journal, and of risk analysis as a field. I begin with some early foundational papers from the first decade of the journal's history. I then review a number of papers that have applied decision analysis to risk problems over the years, including applications of related methods such as influence diagrams, multicriteria decision analysis, and risk matrices. The article then reviews some recent trends, from roughly the last five years, and concludes with observations about the parallel evolution of risk analysis and decision analysis over the decades-especially with regard to the importance of representing multiple stakeholder perspectives, and the importance of behavioral realism in decision models. Overall, the extensive literature surveyed here supports the view that the incorporation of decision-analytic perspectives has improved the practice of risk analysis. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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