Time series analysis of Nevirapine syrup consumption in prevention of mother-tochild transmission and optimal supply chain model in Oshana region, Namibia
| Autor: | Honore Mitonga Kabwebwe, Penehafo Angula, Emmanuel Magesa |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
medicine.medical_specialty
Nevirapine Prevalence 010501 environmental sciences Mmother to Child Transmission 01 natural sciences Article law.invention 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) law Environmental health medicine 030212 general & internal medicine 0105 earth and related environmental sciences Consumption (economics) Government Mother to Child Transmission Communicable disease lcsh:Public aspects of medicine Public health Public Health Environmental and Occupational Health lcsh:RA1-1270 medicine.disease Transmission (mechanics) HIV/AIDS Business Nevirapine syrup medicine.drug |
| Zdroj: | Journal of Public Health in Africa, Vol 11, Iss 1 (2020) Journal of Public Health in Africa |
| ISSN: | 2038-9930 2038-9922 |
| DOI: | 10.4081/jphia.2020.1029 |
| Popis: | Introduction. HIV/AIDS continue to be serious communicable disease whose impact on public health in Namibia is massive. It is estimated that the prevalence rate of HIV in Namibia is 17.2%, ranking the country as the fifth highest in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Some improvement in reducing the number of cases of HIV/AIDS has been made in the country, but the sporadic shortage of medicines continues to slow down government efforts to foster the emergence of an HIV-free generation of Namibians Objective of the study. Develop and demonstrate a mathematical supply-chain model, which can establish parameters to prevent stock-outs of NVP suspension. Method: The study adopted retrospective approach to acquire data from 2012-2016. Results. Gamma supply chain model was developed as the optimal model for NVP syrup and forecasted consumption for 2017-2018 was determined. Conclusion and recommendation. It is a recommendation of this study that new guidelines for implementation of optimal supply-chain models at the regional medical store, health centers and clinics be implemented for Nevirapine syrup. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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