SHELTER‐IN‐PLACE ORDERS AND PUBLIC HEALTH: EVIDENCE FROM CALIFORNIA DURING THE COVID‐19 PANDEMIC

Autor: Dhaval Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Joseph J. Sabia, Drew McNichols
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Policy Analysis and Management
ISSN: 1520-6688
0276-8739
Popis: A shelter-in-place order (SIPO) is one of the most restrictive non-pharmaceutical interventions designed to curb the spread of COVID-19 On March 19, 2020, California Governor Gavin Newsom issued the first statewide SIPO in the United States The order closed non-essential businesses and required residents to shelter in place for all but essential activities such as grocery shopping, retrieving prescriptions from a pharmacy, or caring for relatives This study is the first in the economics literature to estimate the effect of a statewide SIPO on public health Using daily state-level coronavirus data and a synthetic control research design, we find that California's statewide SIPO reduced COVID-19 cases by 160 9 to 194 7 per 100,000 population by April 20, one month following the order We further find that California's SIPO led to as many as 1,566 fewer COVID-19 deaths during this period Back-of-the-envelope calculations suggest that there were about 649 to 703 job losses per life saved, and about 14 to16 job losses per case averted during this post-treatment period
Databáze: OpenAIRE