The Impact of Climate Change on Hydrological Regime of the Transboundary River Shu Basin (Kazakhstan–Kyrgyzstan): Forecast for 2050
| Autor: | Karlygash Kaliyeva, Yermekul Zhaparkulova, Petras Punys |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
Geography
Planning and Development forecast Climate change Aquatic Science Structural basin Biochemistry glacier-and snow-fed rivers Streamflow Forecast period TD201-500 Hydropower Water Science and Technology Hydrology geography geography.geographical_feature_category hydrological regime Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes business.industry Discharge Glacier Hydraulic engineering climate change Environmental science business Surface runoff TC1-978 |
| Zdroj: | Water, Vol 13, Iss 2800, p 2800 (2021) Water Volume 13 Issue 20 |
| ISSN: | 2073-4441 |
| Popis: | The impact of regional climate change on the runoff and the regime of glacier- and snow-fed rivers in the transboundary river Shu basin between Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan is investigated. This study covered three of the most representative rivers of the Shu basin. It was based on the weather and gauging stations’ observation data in the river Shu basin — the northern Tien Shan. Based on the trend analysis, an increase in the average annual temperature and river discharge was identified within the observation period as a whole, and for the separate compared periods. Furthermore, the mean annual flow projections were made based on the methodology of the retrospective analysis of runoff and the rate of river flow increase for the observation period, and further extrapolation of data for the forecast period. According to the analysis, the mean annual flow for the considered rivers will be decreased by 25 to 30% on average by 2050. These findings are necessary for elaborating adaptation measures in water allocation for freshwater supply, irrigation and hydropower within this transboundary river. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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