| Autor: |
Sahamoddin Khailaie, Sebastian Binder, Timo Wollmershaeuser, Berit Lange, Florian Dorn, Stefan Lautenbacher, Andreas Peichl, Marc Stoeckli, Michael Meyer-Hermann, Clemens Fuest, Patrizio Vanella |
| Rok vydání: |
2020 |
| Předmět: |
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| DOI: |
10.1101/2020.08.14.20175224 |
| Popis: |
Several countries use shutdown strategies to contain the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic, at the expense of massive economic costs. While this suggests a conflict between health protection and economic objectives, we examine whether the economically optimal exit strategy can be reconciled with the containment of the epidemic. We use a novel combination of epidemiological and economic simulations for scenario calculations based on empirical evidence from Germany. Our findings suggest that a prudent opening is economically optimal, whereas costs are higher for a more extensive opening process. This rejects the view that there is a conflict with health protection. Instead, it is in the common interest of public health and the economy to relax non-pharmaceutical interventions in a manner that keeps the epidemic under control. |
| Databáze: |
OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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