Effect of direct-acting antivirals on future occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in compensated cirrhotic patients
| Autor: | Cucchetti, Alessandro, D’Amico, Gennaro, Trevisani, Franco, Morelli, Maria Cristina, Vitale, Alessandro, Pinna, Antonio Daniele, Cescon, Matteo, Cillo, Umberto, Burra, Patrizia, Russo, Francesco P., Mescoli, Claudia, Rendina, Maria, Lupo, Luigi G., Losito, Francesco, Fucilli, Fabio, Brancaccio, Giusep-Pina, Persico, Marcello, Viganò, Luca, Iavarone, Massimo, D’Ambrosio, Roberta, Sangiovanni, Angelo, Renzulli, Matteo, Galati, Giovanni, Ponziani, Francesca Romana, Pompili, Maurizio, Miele, Luca, Grieco, Antonio, Rapaccini, Gianlodovico, Gasbarrini, Antonio, Sandri, Giovanni Battisa Levi, Lai, Quirino, Melandro, Fabio, Rossi, Massimo, Lenci, Ilaria, Manzia, Tommaso Maria, Tortora, Raffaella, Di Costanzo, Giovan Giuseppe, Sacco, Rodolfo, Simonetti, Natalia, Morisco, Filomena, Guarino, Maria, Cabibbo, Giuseppe, Bhoori, Carlo Sposito Sherrie, Di Sandro, Stefano, Foschi, Francesco Giuseppe, Gardini, Andrea Casadei, Nicolini, Daniele, Mazzocato, Susanna, Alba, Kostandini, Violi, Paola, Baccarani, Umberto, Pravisani, Riccardo |
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| Přispěvatelé: | A. Cucchetti, G. D'Amico, F. Trevisani, M.C. Morelli, A. Vitale, A.D.Pinna, M. Cescon, Cucchetti, Alessandro, D’Amico, Gennaro, Trevisani, Franco, Morelli, Maria Cristina, Vitale, Alessandro, Pinna, Antonio Daniele, Cescon, Matteo, Cillo, Umberto, Burra, Patrizia, Russo, Francesco P., Mescoli, Claudia, Rendina, Maria, Lupo, Luigi G., Losito, Francesco, Fucilli, Fabio, Brancaccio, Giusep-Pina, Persico, Marcello, Viganò, Luca, Iavarone, Massimo, D’Ambrosio, Roberta, Sangiovanni, Angelo, Renzulli, Matteo, Galati, Giovanni, Ponziani, Francesca Romana, Pompili, Maurizio, Miele, Luca, Grieco, Antonio, Rapaccini, Gianlodovico, Gasbarrini, Antonio, Sandri, Giovanni Battisa Levi, Lai, Quirino, Melandro, Fabio, Rossi, Massimo, Lenci, Ilaria, Manzia, Tommaso Maria, Tortora, Raffaella, Di Costanzo, Giovan Giuseppe, Sacco, Rodolfo, Simonetti, Natalia, Morisco, Filomena, Guarino, Maria, Cabibbo, Giuseppe, Bhoori, Carlo Sposito Sherrie, Di Sandro, Stefano, Foschi, Francesco Giuseppe, Gardini, Andrea Casadei, Nicolini, Daniele, Mazzocato, Susanna, Alba, Kostandini, Violi, Paola, Baccarani, Umberto, Pravisani, Riccardo |
| Rok vydání: | 2018 |
| Předmět: |
Male
Time Factors Sustained Virologic Response Hepatocellular carcinoma Hepacivirus Direct-acting antiviral Direct-acting antivirals medicine.disease_cause Gastroenterology Competing risk Hepatitis C Markov model Survival benefit Sustained virological response Hepatology 0302 clinical medicine Risk Factors 030212 general & internal medicine biology Incidence Incidence (epidemiology) Liver Neoplasms Middle Aged Markov Chains Competing risk Direct-acting antivirals Hepatitis C Hepatocellular carcinoma Markov model Survival benefit Sustained virological response Italy Liver Neoplasm Female 030211 gastroenterology & hepatology Human Adult medicine.medical_specialty Carcinoma Hepatocellular Time Factor Hepatitis C virus Antiviral Agents 03 medical and health sciences Internal medicine medicine Humans Antiviral Agent Hepaciviru business.industry Risk Factor Carcinoma Hepatocellular Markov Chain medicine.disease biology.organism_classification digestive system diseases Settore MED/18 - Chirurgia Generale Liver function Varices business |
| Zdroj: | Digestive and Liver Disease. 50:156-162 |
| ISSN: | 1590-8658 |
| Popis: | Background: The achievement of high rates of sustained virological response (SVR) with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) in hepatitis C virus (HCV) infected patients will reduce decompensating terminal events. Aims: To investigate whether hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence could change due to the DAA-induced increase in life-expectancy. Methods: A Markov model was built on clinical data of 494 cirrhotic patients and available literature to estimate probabilities of “death before HCC” and of “HCC occurrence” without and with DAA. Results: In comparison to untreated patients, DAA therapy reduced the 20-year mortality before HCC by 21.9% in patients without varices and by 21.5% in those with varices, considering an SVR of 95% and no direct effect on hepatocarcinogenesis. Tumour occurrence increased by 5%–8.2% and the proportion of HCCs diagnosed in compensated stages increased to >98%. If we consider DAA as having “anti-tumoral” effects, the benefit becomes greater, achieving a 20-year survival of 81.5% in patients without varices, and 52.2% in patients with varices. Instead, if we consider DAA as having a “pro-tumoral” effect, then, the increased incidence of HCC nullifies the survival benefits. Conclusion: DAAs drastically reduce the mortality caused by the liver function worsening, increasing the proportion of HCCs diagnosed in compensated stages. Knowledge of the DAA effect on hepatocarcinogenesis remains pivotal. © 2017 Editrice Gastroenterologica Italiana S.r.l. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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