Highlight results of the Smart4RES project on weather modelling and forecasting dedicated to renewable energy applications

Autor: Kariniotakis, Georges, Camal, Simon, Meer, Dennis van Der, Stratigakos, Akylas, Giebel, Gregor, Göçmen, Tuhfe, Pinson, Pierre, Bessa, Ricardo, Goncalves, Carla, Aleksovska, Ivana, Alonzo, Bastien, Cassas, Marie, Libois, Quentin, Raynaud, Laure, Deen, Gerrit, Houf, Daan, Verzijlbergh, Remco, Lange, Matthias, Witha, Björn, Lezaca, Jorge, Nouri, Bijan, Wilbert, Stefan, Marques, Maria Ines, Silva, Manuel, Boer, Wouter De, Eijgelaar, Marcel, Sauba, Ganesh, Karakitsios, John, Konstantinou, Theodoros, Lagos, Dimitrios, Sideratos, George, Anastopoulou, Theodora, Korka, Efrosini, Vitellas, Christos, Petit, Stephanie
Přispěvatelé: Centre Procédés, Énergies Renouvelables, Systèmes Énergétiques (PERSEE), Mines Paris - PSL (École nationale supérieure des mines de Paris), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Danmarks Tekniske Universitet = Technical University of Denmark (DTU), Institute for Systems and Computer Engineering, Technology and Science [Porto] (INESC TEC), Météo-France Direction Interrégionale Sud-Est (DIRSE), Météo-France, WHIFFLE, energy (EMSYS - Energy & Meteo Systems), Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), EDP New Energy World – Center for New Energy Technologies, EDP Distribuição, DNV GL, National Technical University of Athens [Athens] (NTUA), DEDDIE, Dowel Innovation, European Project: 864337,Smart4RES
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Smart4RES team, Kariniotakis, G & Camal, S 2022, ' Highlight results of the Smart4RES project on weather modelling and forecasting dedicated to renewable energy applications ', EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23/05/2022-27/05/2022 . https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12923
EGU General Assembly 2022
EGU General Assembly 2022, May 2022, Vienna, Austria. pp.EGU22-12923, ⟨10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12923⟩
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12923
Popis: In this presentation we detail highlight results obtained from the research work within the European Horizon 2020 project Smart4RES (http://www.smart4res.eu). The project, which started in 2019 and runs until 2023, aims at a better modelling and forecasting of weather variables necessary to optimise the integration of weather-dependent renewable energy (RES) production (i.e. wind, solar, run-of-the-river hydro) into power systems and electricity markets. Smart4RES gathers experts from several disciplines, from meteorology and renewable generation to market- and grid-integration. It aims to contribute to the pathway towards energy systems with very high RES penetrations by 2030 and beyond, through thematic objectives including:Improvement of weather and RES forecasting, Streamlined extraction of optimal value through new forecasting products, data market places, and novel business models; New data-driven optimization and decision-aid tools for market and grid management applications; Validation of new models in living labs and assessment of forecasting value vs costly remedies to hedge uncertainties (i.e. storage). In this presentation we will focus on our results on models that permit to improve forecasting of weather variables with focus on extreme situations and also through innovative measuring settings (i.e. a network of sky cameras). Also results will be presented on the development of seamless approach able to couple outputs from different ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) models with different temporal resolutions. Advances on the contribution of ultra-high resolution NWPs based on Large Eddy Simulation will be presented with evaluation results on real case studies like the Rhodes island in Greece.When it comes to forecasting the power output of RES plants, mainly wind and solar, the focus is on improving predictability using multiple sources of data. The proposed modelling approaches aim to efficiently combine highly dimensionally input (various types of satellite images, numerical weather predictions, spatially distributed measurements etc.). A priority has been to propose models that permit to generate probabilistic forecasts for multiple time frames in a seamless way. Thus, the objective is not only to improve accuracy and uncertainty estimations, but also to simplify complex forecasting modelling chains for applications that use forecasts at different time frames (i.e. a virtual power plant - VPP- with or without storage that participates in multiple markets). Our results show that the proposed seamless models permit to reach these performance objectives. Results will be presented also on how these approaches can be extended to aggregations of RES plants which is relevant for forecasting VPP production.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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