Estimating deaths from foodborne disease in the UK for 11 key pathogens
| Autor: | Laura Thomson, Abdul Khaled, Nazmina Mahmoudzadeh, Darren Holland |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
Rotavirus
endocrine system Clostridium perfringens infectious disease Cryptosporidium medicine.disease_cause Severity of Illness Index Death Certificates Astrovirus Adenoviridae Disease Outbreaks Foodborne Diseases 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Listeria monocytogenes Salmonella Environmental health medicine Humans lcsh:RC799-869 Mortality Aged Aged 80 and over biology business.industry Campylobacter Giardia Norovirus Gastroenterology Outbreak biology.organism_classification United Kingdom Infectious disease (medical specialty) 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis Population Surveillance Gastrointestinal Infection lcsh:Diseases of the digestive system. Gastroenterology 030211 gastroenterology & hepatology Shigella business Mamastrovirus |
| Zdroj: | BMJ Open Gastroenterology BMJ Open Gastroenterology, Vol 7, Iss 1 (2020) |
| ISSN: | 2054-4774 |
| Popis: | ObjectiveTo estimate the number of deaths from foodborne disease in the UK from 11 key pathogens.DesignFour different models were developed using data from a range of sources. These included enhanced surveillance, outbreaks, death certificates and hospital episode statistics data. For each model, median estimates were produced with 95% credible intervals (CrI). The results from the different models were compared.ResultsThe estimates for foodborne deaths for each pathogen from the different models were consistent, with CrIs largely overlapping. Based on the preferred model for each pathogen, foodborne norovirus is estimated to cause 56 deaths per year (95% CrI 32 to 92), foodborne Salmonella 33 deaths (95% CrI 7 to 159), foodborne Listeria monocytogenes 26 deaths (95% CrI 24 to 28), foodborne Clostridium perfringens 25 deaths (95% CrI 1 to 163) and foodborne Campylobacter 21 deaths (95% CrI 8 to 47). The considerable overlap in the CrIs means it is not possible to make any firm conclusions on ranking. Most of these deaths occur in those aged over 75 years. Foodborne deaths from Shigella, Cryptosporidium, Giardia, adenovirus, astrovirus and rotavirus are all rare.ConclusionsWe estimate that there are 180 deaths per year in the UK (95% CrI 113 to 359) caused by foodborne disease based on these 11 pathogens. While this is a small fraction of the estimated 2.4 million cases of foodborne illness per year it still illustrates the potential severity of these illnesses demonstrating the importance in continuing efforts to reduce these infections. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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