A New GM(1,1) Model Based on Cubic Monotonicity-Preserving Interpolation Spline

Autor: Zehua Jian, Wenqing Chen, Yuanpeng Zhu, Yurui Du, Jiwei Fang
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: Symmetry
Volume 11
Issue 3
Symmetry, Vol 11, Iss 3, p 420 (2019)
ISSN: 2073-8994
DOI: 10.3390/sym11030420
Popis: In the classical GM(1,1) model, an accumulated generating operation is made on the original non-negative sequence to obtain a monotone increasing 1-AGO sequence, and the forecasting model is established based on the 1-AGO sequence. A great number of scholars have improved the accuracy of grey model prediction through better developed background value and the equation for the time response. In this work, we reconstruct the background value based on a new developed monotonicity-preserving piecewise cubic interpolations spline, and thereby establish a new GM(1,1) model. Numerical examples show that the new GM(1,1) model has better prediction quality of data than the original GM(1,1) model and improves the precision of prediction in practice.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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