| Autor: |
Juan F. Vargas, Miguel E. Purroy, Felipe Coy, Sergio Perilla, Mounu Prem |
| Rok vydání: |
2022 |
| Předmět: |
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| DOI: |
10.31235/osf.io/dw9vn |
| Popis: |
Violence in conflict settings is seldom random, making its effects indistinguishable from the intentions of the perpetrator. We leverage on the quasi-randomness of accidental landmine explosions to study how violence shapes electoral outcomes in Colombia. We combine the geolocation of landmine blasts with the coordinates of voting polls in a regression discontinuity design that compares polls close to which a landmine exploded just before the election to those close to which it did just afterward. Blasts within a month from election day depress turnout by 23%. In addition, those who do vote penalize the democratic left for the explosions and are more likely to support political parties with ties with illegal paramilitary groups. |
| Databáze: |
OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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