Surrogate Endpoints as Predictors of Overall Survival in Metastatic Urothelial Cancer: A Trial-level Analysis

Autor: Fady Ghali, Yibai Zhao, Devin Patel, Teresa Jewell, Evan Y. Yu, Petros Grivas, R. Bruce Montgomery, John L. Gore, Ruth B. Etzioni, Jonathan L. Wright
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: European Urology Open Science. 47:58-64
ISSN: 2666-1683
Popis: Surrogate endpoints (SEs), such as progression-free survival (PFS) and objective response rate (ORR), are frequently used in clinical trials. The relationship between SEs and overall survival (OS) has not been well described in metastatic urothelial cancer (MUC).We evaluated trial-level data to assess the relationship between SEs and OS. We hypothesize a moderate surrogacy relationship between both PFS and ORR with OS.We systematically reviewed phase 2/3 trials in MUC with two or more treatment arms, and report PFS and/or ORR, and OS.Linear regression was performed, and the coefficient of determination (ROf 3791 search results, 59 trials and 62 comparisons met the inclusion criteria. Of the 53 trials that reported PFS, 31 (58%) reported proportional hazard regression for PFS and OS. Linear regression across trials demonstrated an RPFS provides only a moderate level of surrogacy for OS; An HRWe examined the relationship between surrogate endpoints, common outcomes in clinical trials, with survival in urothelial cancer trials. Progression-free survival is moderately correlated, while objective response rate had a poor correlation with survival and should be de-emphasized as a primary endpoint.
Databáze: OpenAIRE