Candidate localness and voter choice in the 2015 General Election in England
| Autor: | Jocelyn Evans, Rosie Campbell, Philip Cowley, Kai Arzheimer |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2017 |
| Předmět: |
Panel survey
History Sociology and Political Science Contiguity media_common.quotation_subject polsoc 05 social sciences Geography Planning and Development 0507 social and economic geography 0506 political science Politics Geographical distance Voting General election Perception 050602 political science & public administration Econometrics Economics Multinomial probit 050703 geography Social psychology media_common |
| Zdroj: | Political Geography. 59:61-71 |
| ISSN: | 0962-6298 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.polgeo.2017.02.009 |
| Popis: | Previous research has demonstrated a significant relationship between the geographical distance from a voter to a candidate and the likelihood of the voter choosing that candidate. However, models of this relationship may be mis- or under-specified, by not taking into account voters’ perceptions of distance or not controlling for other possible factors related to a candidate’s ‘localness’ which may influence vote choice. Using a two-wave panel survey carried out during the 2015 UK General Election, this article tests a more fully specified alternative-specific multinomial probit model of candidate-voter distance. We show that, although the effect size is smaller than in previous tests, candidate-voter distance mattered in the 2015 General Election, an effect that is robust to controls not only for party support and incumbency, as previous research had demonstrated, but also to measures of voter information, candidate presence and marginality. We also find that contiguity mattered: candidates living in non-neighbouring constituencies have a lower likelihood of vote than those living in neighbouring constituencies or in the constituency itself. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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