A self-assessment efficacy tool for spermicide contraceptive users
Autor: | Paul G. Whittaker, Mary D. Sammel, Courtney A. Schreiber, Sarah J. Ratcliffe |
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Rok vydání: | 2016 |
Předmět: |
Adult
medicine.medical_specialty Pregnancy Rate Point-of-Care Systems Population Spermatocidal Agents Risk Assessment White People Decision Support Techniques law.invention Young Adult 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Randomized controlled trial Pregnancy law Patient-Centered Care Odds Ratio medicine Humans Prospective Studies 030212 general & internal medicine education Gynecology education.field_of_study 030219 obstetrics & reproductive medicine Obstetrics business.industry Spermicide Age Factors Obstetrics and Gynecology Odds ratio Confidence interval Black or African American Logistic Models Treatment Outcome Family planning Female business Risk assessment Unintended pregnancy |
Zdroj: | American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology. 214:264.e1-264.e7 |
ISSN: | 0002-9378 |
Popis: | Easily accessible contraceptive methods, such as chemical and barrier methods, are used currently by approximately 1 in 6 women who use contraception in the United States. Even in the face of suboptimal effectiveness, coitally dependent methods likely will always have a role in fertility management. Because most contraceptive efficacy stratifications use population-based data, for women to make informed decisions about the individual fit of a contraceptive method, better evidence-based, user-friendly tools are needed.Spermicides are a readily available, over-the counter, woman-controlled contraceptive method, but their effectiveness is user-dependent. Patient-decision aids for spermicides and other barrier methods are not well-developed, and overall failure rates could be improved by aids that account for individual characteristics. We sought to derive a prediction rule for successful use of spermicides for pregnancy prevention and to convert those data to a point-of-care instrument that women can use when they are considering spermicide use during contraceptive decision-making.We pooled local data from 3 randomized clinical trials that were published in 2004, 2007, and 2010 that tested spermicide efficacy. We constructed a prediction rule for unintended pregnancy using bootstrap validation and developed a scoring system.Data from 621 women showed a mean age of 29 years; 49% of the women were African American, and 43% were white. The overall pregnancy rate was 10.3% (95% confidence interval, 7.9-12.7) over 6 months. In adjusted logistic regression, age35 years was protective against pregnancy (odds ratio, 0.19; 95% confidence interval, 0.06-0.58; P = .003), and multigravidity was associated with high failure rates (odds ratio, 7.24; 95% confidence interval, 3.04-17.3; P.001). These risk factors (together with frequency of unprotected sex) were used in a model that maximized sensitivity for pregnancy prediction to compute the predicted probability of unintended pregnancy for each woman. This model was 97% accurate in predicting women who had a5% pregnancy risk while using spermicides.Using prospectively collected data, we built a simple risk calculator for contraceptive failure that women can consult when considering spermicide use. This instrument could support patient-centered contraceptive decision-making. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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