Targeted Social Distancing Designs for Pandemic Influenza
| Autor: | H. Jason Min, Robert J. Glass, Laura M. Glass, Walter E. Beyeler |
|---|---|
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2006 |
| Předmět: |
Adult
social networks Small town Adolescent Social contact Attack rate lcsh:Medicine social distance Disease Outbreaks lcsh:Infectious and parasitic diseases Environmental health Influenza Human computer simulation Humans Medicine lcsh:RC109-216 Child research business.industry Transmission (medicine) Social distance fungi lcsh:R Pandemic influenza virus diseases food and beverages Virology Work environment Influenza Local community Patient Simulation Psychological Distance business nonlinear models |
| Zdroj: | Emerging Infectious Diseases, Vol 12, Iss 11, Pp 1671-1681 (2006) Emerging Infectious Diseases |
| ISSN: | 1080-6059 1080-6040 |
| Popis: | Local community networks can mitigate pandemic influenza in the absence of vaccine and antiviral drugs. Targeted social distancing to mitigate pandemic influenza can be designed through simulation of influenza's spread within local community social contact networks. We demonstrate this design for a stylized community representative of a small town in the United States. The critical importance of children and teenagers in transmission of influenza is first identified and targeted. For influenza as infectious as 1957–58 Asian flu (≈50% infected), closing schools and keeping children and teenagers at home reduced the attack rate by >90%. For more infectious strains, or transmission that is less focused on the young, adults and the work environment must also be targeted. Tailored to specific communities across the world, such design would yield local defenses against a highly virulent strain in the absence of vaccine and antiviral drugs. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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