Translating Predictions of Zoonotic Viruses for Policymakers
| Autor: | Julius Nwobegahay, Trevon Fuller, Matthew LeBreton, Godwin W Nchinda, Thomas B. Smith, Judith N. Torimiro, Abel Wade, Timothy F. Brewer, Kevin Y. Njabo, Jean-Marc Feussom Kameni, Richard Njouom, Risa M Hoffman, Elsa Dibongue, Joseph Le Doux Diffo, Severin Loul, Jean Michel Takuo, Seth D. Judson |
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| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2018 |
| Předmět: |
Zika virus disease
Rift Valley Fever Health Toxicology and Mutagenesis viruses Geographic Mapping Filoviridae Disease medicine.disease_cause Ebola virus 0302 clinical medicine Zoonoses 2.2 Factors relating to the physical environment Marburg Virus Disease 030212 general & internal medicine Cameroon Viral Aetiology Policy Making Arenaviridae Disease surveillance biology Ecology Hemorrhagic Fevers Geography Infectious Diseases Ebola Viruses Public Health and Health Services Infection Virus diseases Crimean Risk Bunyaviridae 030231 tropical medicine Wild Bioengineering Animals Wild Vaccine Related 03 medical and health sciences Lassa Fever medicine Animals Humans Veterinary Sciences Environmental planning Prevention Outbreak Hemorrhagic Fever Ebola biology.organism_classification medicine.disease Hemorrhagic fevers Emerging Infectious Diseases Good Health and Well Being Animal ecology Hemorrhagic Fever Hemorrhagic Fever Crimean |
| Zdroj: | Judson, SD; LeBreton, M; Fuller, T; Hoffman, RM; Njabo, K; Brewer, TF; et al.(2018). Translating Predictions of Zoonotic Viruses for Policymakers. ECOHEALTH, 15(1), 52-62. doi: 10.1007/s10393-017-1304-3. UCLA: Retrieved from: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/8123z0qq EcoHealth, vol 15, iss 1 |
| Popis: | Recent outbreaks of Ebola virus disease and Zika virus disease highlight the need for disseminating accurate predictions of emerging zoonotic viruses to national governments for disease surveillance and response. Although there are published maps for many emerging zoonotic viruses, it is unknown if there is agreement among different models or if they are concordant with national expert opinion. Therefore, we reviewed existing predictions for five high priority emerging zoonotic viruses with national experts in Cameroon to investigate these issues and determine how to make predictions more useful for national policymakers. Predictive maps relied primarily on environmental parameters and species distribution models. Rift Valley fever virus and Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus predictions differed from national expert opinion, potentially because of local livestock movements. Our findings reveal that involving national experts could elicit additional data to improve predictions of emerging pathogens as well as help repackage predictions for policymakers. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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