The victims of neoliberal globalisation and the rise of the populist vote: a comparative analysis of three recent electoral decisions
Autor: | Franziska Disslbacher, Mathias Moser, Jürgen Essletzbichler |
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Rok vydání: | 2018 |
Předmět: |
Economics and Econometrics
Sociology and Political Science media_common.quotation_subject 05 social sciences Geography Planning and Development 0211 other engineering and technologies 021107 urban & regional planning Context (language use) 02 engineering and technology 507026 Economic geography Electoral geography 0506 political science 507001 Angewandte Geographie Populism 507026 Wirtschaftsgeographie Brexit 507001 Applied geography Voting Political economy Unemployment Referendum 050602 political science & public administration Economics Welfare media_common |
Zdroj: | Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society. 11:73-94 |
ISSN: | 1752-1386 1752-1378 |
Popis: | Recent presidential elections in the US and Austria as well as the referendum on Brexit in the UK delivered victories or near-victories for populist right-wing candidates or agendas. In all three cases, globalisation and European integration were blamed for higher immigration and pressure on public services, deindustrialisation and job losses, and the attack on traditional values by cosmopolitan elites supported by traditional centre parties that have been unable or unwilling to control those processes. While election analysts seek to explain voting behaviour with socio-demographic characteristics of individuals, individual voting preferences also depend on the geographical context in which decisions are made. This article thus examines how long-term, regional structural economic changes, the varying impact of the Great Recession on the rise of and recovery from regional unemployment and current regional economic conditions, such as unemployment and welfare benefit losses, affect regional vote shares. In addition to those economic conditions, we examine the impact of immigration and urban size on populist vote shares. We show that regions with low, but rising immigrant shares, old industrial regions, smaller regions, those whose labour markets were exposed more and recovered less from the Great Recession, and those with high unemployment rates and benefit losses exhibited higher populist vote shares. These results are largely consistent across the three case study countries. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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