Predicting inpatient clinical order patterns with probabilistic topic models vs conventional order sets

Autor: Steven M. Asch, Lester Mackey, Mary K. Goldstein, Jonathan H. Chen, Russ B. Altman
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
Topic model
Computer science
Health Informatics
Context (language use)
computer.software_genre
Machine learning
Research and Applications
01 natural sciences
Clinical decision support system
Latent Dirichlet allocation
Medical Order Entry Systems
03 medical and health sciences
symbols.namesake
0302 clinical medicine
Humans
030212 general & internal medicine
0101 mathematics
probabilistic topic modeling
clinical summarization
Interpretability
clinical decision support systems
Models
Statistical

business.industry
Diagnostic Tests
Routine

010102 general mathematics
Probabilistic logic
Usability
data mining
Decision Support Systems
Clinical

Automatic summarization
Hospitalization
Editor's Choice
electronic health records
ROC Curve
order sets
symbols
Artificial intelligence
Patient Care
business
computer
Natural language processing
Algorithms
Zdroj: Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA
ISSN: 1527-974X
1067-5027
Popis: Objective: Build probabilistic topic model representations of hospital admissions processes and compare the ability of such models to predict clinical order patterns as compared to preconstructed order sets.Materials and Methods: The authors evaluated the first 24 hours of structured electronic health record data for > 10 K inpatients. Drawing an analogy between structured items (e.g., clinical orders) to words in a text document, the authors performed latent Dirichlet allocation probabilistic topic modeling. These topic models use initial clinical information to predict clinical orders for a separate validation set of > 4 K patients. The authors evaluated these topic model-based predictions vs existing human-authored order sets by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, precision, and recall for subsequent clinical orders.Results: Existing order sets predict clinical orders used within 24 hours with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.81, precision 16%, and recall 35%. This can be improved to 0.90, 24%, and 47% (P Discussion: Existing order sets tend to provide nonspecific, process-oriented aid, with usability limitations impairing more precise, patient-focused support. Algorithmic summarization has the potential to breach this usability barrier by automatically inferring patient context, but with potential tradeoffs in interpretability.Conclusion: Probabilistic topic modeling provides an automated approach to detect thematic trends in patient care and generate decision support content. A potential use case finds related clinical orders for decision support.
Databáze: OpenAIRE