The relationship between intraseasonal tropical variability and ENSO and its modulation at seasonal to decadal timescales

Autor: Daria Gushchina, Boris Dewitte
Přispěvatelé: Geographical Faculty, Moscow State University, Echanges Côte-Large (ECOLA), Laboratoire d'études en Géophysique et océanographie spatiales (LEGOS), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3), Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (OMP), Météo France-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Météo France-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3), Météo France-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Météo France-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (OMP), Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France -Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France -Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3), Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France -Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France -Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2011
Předmět:
MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION
PACIFIC
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
WIND BURSTS
Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
010502 geochemistry & geophysics
Atmospheric sciences
01 natural sciences
el niño southern oscillation
Troposphere
ocean-atmosphere interaction
MULTISCALE MODEL
WESTERN EQUATORIAL
EL-NINO
GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL
INTERACTION OCEAN ATMOSPHERE
EL NINO
ONDE KELVIN
CLOUD DISTURBANCES
0105 earth and related environmental sciences
ANALYSE STATISTIQUE
[SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean
Atmosphere
QE1-996.5
Rossby wave
Multivariate ENSO index
Equatorial waves
El Nino Southern Oscillation
Geology
Madden–Julian oscillation
intraseasonal tropical variability
NINO-SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION
PART I
VARIATION INTERANNUELLE
CIRCULATION OCEANIQUE
El Niño Southern Oscillation
Amplitude
13. Climate action
General Circulation Model
Climatology
OCEANIC KELVIN WAVES
ONDE ROSSBY
General Earth and Planetary Sciences
1997-98
ENSO
Zdroj: Central European Journal of Geosciences
Central European Journal of Geosciences, Springer, 2011, 3 (2), pp.175-196. ⟨10.2478/s13533-011-0017-3⟩
Central European Journal of Geosciences, 2011, 3 (2), pp.175-196. ⟨10.2478/s13533-011-0017-3⟩
Open Geosciences, Vol 3, Iss 2, Pp 175-196 (2011)
ISSN: 1520-0442
2081-9900
1896-1517
DOI: 10.2478/s13533-011-0017-3⟩
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Prof. S.-I. An is also acknowledged for fruitful discussions. The investigation was funded by RFBR (Russian foundation for basic researches) grants No. 08-05-00243 and international grant No. 0805-92550 CNRS-RFBR. 2 VERSITA WARSAW CENT EUR J GEOSCI; The intraseasonal tropical variability (ITV) patterns in the tropical troposphere are documented using double space-time Fourier analysis. Madden and Julian oscillations (MJO) as well as equatorial coupled waves (Kelvin and Rossby) are investigated based on the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis data for the 1977-2006 period and the outputs of an intermediate ocean-atmosphere coupled model named LODCA-OTCM. A strong seasonal dependence of the ITV/ENSO relationship is evidenced. The leading relationship for equatorial Rossby waves (with the correlation of the same order than for the MJO) is documented; namely, it is shown that intensification of Rossby waves in the central Pacific during boreal summer precedes by half a year the peak of El Nino. The fact that MJO activity in spring-summer is associated to the strength of subsequent El Nino is confirmed. It is shown that LODCA-QTCM is capable of simulating the convectively coupled equatorial waves in outgoing long wave radiation and zonal wind at 850 hPa fields with skill comparable to other Coupled General Circulation Models. The ITV/ENSO relationship is modulated at low frequency. In particular the periods of low ENSO amplitude are associated with weaker MJO activity and a cancellation of MJO at the ENSO development phase. In opposition, during the decaying phase, MJO signal is strong. The periods of strong ENSO activity are associated with a marked coupling between MJO, Kelvin and equatorially Rossby waves and ENSO; the precursor signal of MJO (Rossby waves) in the western (central) Pacific is obvious. The results provide material for the observed change in ENSO characteristics in recent years and question whether the characteristics of the ITV/ENSO relationship may be sensitive to the observed warming in the central tropical Pacific.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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