Adaptation and external validation of the European randomised study of screening for prostate cancer risk calculator for the Chinese population
Autor: | S K Yuen, Chi-Fai Ng, M K Yiu, Daan Nieboer, Peter Ka-Fung Chiu, Monique J. Roobol, Jeremy Yuen-Chun Teoh, See-Ming Hou |
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Přispěvatelé: | Urology, Public Health |
Rok vydání: | 2016 |
Předmět: |
Male
PCA3 Oncology China Cancer Research medicine.medical_specialty Biopsy Urology medicine.medical_treatment 030232 urology & nephrology Risk Assessment 03 medical and health sciences Prostate cancer 0302 clinical medicine Asian People SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being Internal medicine medicine Humans Aged Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic Aged 80 and over Receiver operating characteristic Prostatectomy business.industry Prostatic Neoplasms Reproducibility of Results Middle Aged Prognosis medicine.disease Prostate-specific antigen ROC Curve 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis Cohort Benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) Neoplasm Grading business Risk assessment |
Zdroj: | Prostate Cancer and Prostatic Diseases, 20(1), 99-104. Nature Publishing Group |
ISSN: | 1476-5608 1365-7852 |
Popis: | To adapt the well-performing European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) risk calculator to the Chinese setting and perform an external validation. The original ERSPC risk calculator 3 (RC3) for prostate cancer (PCa) and high-grade PCa (HGPCa) was applied to a development cohort of 3006 previously unscreened Hong Kong Chinese men with initial transrectal biopsies performed from 1997 to 2015, age 50–80 years, PSA 0.4–50 ng ml−1 and prostate volume 10–150 ml. A simple adaptation to RC3 was performed and externally validated in a cohort of 2214 Chinese men from another Hong Kong hospital. The performance of the models were presented in calibration plots, area under curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) and decision curve analyses. PCa and HGPCa was diagnosed in 16.7% (503/3006) and 7.8% (234/3006) men in the development cohort, and 20.2% (447/2204) and 9.7% (214/2204) men in the validation cohort, respectively. The AUCs using the original RC3 model in the development cohort were 0.75 and 0.84 for PCa and HGPCa, respectively, but the calibration plots showed considerable overestimation. In the external validation of the recalibrated RC3 model, excellent calibration was observed, and discrimination was good with AUCs of 0.76 and 0.85 for PCa and HGPCa, respectively. Decision curve analyses in the validation cohort showed net clinical benefit of the recalibrated RC3 model over PSA. A recalibrated ERSPC risk calculator for the Chinese population was developed, and it showed excellent discrimination, calibration and net clinical benefit in an external validation cohort. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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